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2024-12-14 01:50:25

Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.The yield of 10-year Japanese government bonds rose by 1 basis point to 1.075%.Rosario Grain Exchange: Argentina's wheat production in 2024/25 is estimated to be 19.3 million tons, compared with the previous estimate of 18.8 million tons.


Warnick, chief financial officer of Robinhood, reduced his holdings of $6.02 million shares, and Jason Warnick, chief financial officer of Robinhood Markets Inc, reported an insider stock transaction to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, reducing his holdings of $6.02 million shares. Robinhood's share price has risen by 15% in the past month.Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.18 shares were rated by brokers, and Yuhetian's target increased by 54.72%. On December 11th, a total of 18 shares were rated by brokers, and 6 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Yuhetian, Steady Medical Care and Fulongma ranked in the top, with increases of 54.72%, 19.96% and 17.62% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 12 stocks remain unchanged and 6 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, one stock attracted the attention of many brokers, and Hagrid Communications was ranked in the top number, with two brokers rating it respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the rated stocks are bought, the number of rated stocks for technical hardware and equipment, capital goods and materials II is the largest, with 4, 3 and 2 respectively.


South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party does not recognize the president.Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.The strategy of Guojun Junan Household Appliances in 2025: The subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and the leading enterprises with leading layout will continue to be optimistic about going out to sea. Guotai Junan said that in 2024, the domestic sales category will be divided and the overall export will be stable. The household appliance industry presents four key words: looking at the sky/involution/multi-point flowering/continuous going out to sea. Looking forward to 2025: look forward to the domestic demand policy and continue to be optimistic about the sea leader. Subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and we will continue to be optimistic about leading enterprises with leading layout. Be optimistic about the leading enterprises and pay attention to three main lines: 1) Continue to be optimistic about the leading enterprises under the logic blessing of trade-in and going out to sea; 2) For industries with pure domestic demand, pay attention to the turning point of enterprises; 3) Pay moderate attention to the fermentation of potential themes, such as AI+ intelligence and the reform of state-owned enterprises, and the growth of mergers and acquisitions.

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